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Coast-to-Coast Select Picks & Analysis (11/13/22)

Gulfstream Park | Race 5 | Tapeta | 5 Furlongs | Post Time 2:24 ET

#2 Forest Survivor 5/2

Off an 84h/76 NPT, not a field that wants to go that quick to the 4F point leaving this one a shot to push off from a possible accordion race flow.

Gulfstream Park | Race 8 | Tapeta | 8.5 Furlongs | Post Time 4:05 ET

#9 Tiz Impressive 15/1

Worth a look as a live longshot fitting the “Bests” criteria from Chapter 12 of “Blinkers Off”. She suddenly found new late stride in last on the way to a field best 65/76 running line. There's no clear favorite in this field so they may all be vulnerable to a runner like this.

Gulfstream Park | Race 9 | Tapeta | 5 Furlongs | Post Time 4:37 ET

#7 R Reposado Loca 3/1

She could be entered into a favorable set-up here. Many in here have been prompting quick fractions by setting multiple NPTs in campaign. While any number of those could be eligible to use that conditioning to their advantage today and reverse form to improve, choosing between them is less decipherable than backing the superior compression of this one with a competitive Final Figure but tighter dirt spread (4F minus Final) than the field.

Golden Gate | Race 4 | Tapeta | 6 Furlongs | 5:15 ET

#7 Black Zabat 8/1

Perhaps can steal first time against winners with a big Last 4F Figure advantage at 74 compared to just 64 for a couple rivals. Bug rides back 7 pounds lighter than most of field and while 4 for 21 at the meet, rider is 4 for 9 in main track sprints. On another note, will be interesting to see what the board offers concerning the #1 How About A Fresca at 8/1 ML even after outfinishing #5 Smokems Taphouse in last who starts as 2/1 ML favorite. 4F/6Fs Figures for #1 vs co-favs - #1 67/64 - #5 66h/64 - #6 67h/62h

Hawthorne | Race 7 | Dirt | 6.5 Furlongs | Post Time 6:28 ET

#9 Mac Pandowdy 12/1

The move to a new barn prompted a 75/70 CPT. Although he was no threat there, he held his own well enough against much tougher than today's field in what served as a great conditioner and indicates improved form to be competitive here with maybe some juicy odds attached.

Hawthorne | Race 8 | Dirt | 6.5 Furlongs | Post Time 6:58 ET

#4 Kanithappen 6/1

Pulling the “race from within the race” using 4F/6F turnback figures from the routing career, this looks like a logical spot to try setting this one down for a sprint try after prompting fastest turnback running line of career at 73/68 (if you exclude the romp on a sloppy track 5 back).

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