Monmouth Park, Race 12
9 Furlongs, Dirt
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#1 Following Sea 3/1
Carries a significant 4F Figure advantage coming out of sprints to try two turns for the first time. These sprint-to-route types are often ones I like as although they're covering a lot more distance, they'll see speeds much more relaxed in the stretch out. However, the offering is pretty short here for this type of runner going untested right into Grade I waters. The sire and dam were both sprinters and the half-siblings are 11 for 30 sprinting but 0 for 5 routing.
#2 Antigravity 30/1
Runner has been very consistent as of late building both 4F and Final Figures slowly over the summer campaign. Has a pair of local victories to spring off of. Took him 11 tires to break the maiden so this is quite the confident boost up in class. Plenty of value to see this one hit the board.
#3 Mandaloun 2/1
Has a right to move forward out of the 61/73 SOFT victory on this track with the SOFT pattern indicating some could have been left in the tank. Enters solid here but grinding style of running leaves him susceptible if a game rival kicks on out front.
#4 Hot Rod Charlie 6/5
Blasted off going 12 furlongs and sustaining a hot pace in the Belmont Stakes to a 74/79 and now sets back down to 9 furlongs. Interesting to the blinkers come off here indicating connections aren't looking for a hot pace duel here and we can see this one take more of a stalking approach.
#6 Midnight Bourbon 9/2
Has developed well from spending energy early as a juvenile with positive dirt spreads and shifting toward negative dirt spreads this season indicating late energy. Comes off a pair of 80+ Final Figure finishes against top competition and enters with the most rest of the field.
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-Dustin Korth @predicteform