G1 Pacific Classic (08/21/21)

Del Mar, Race 10

Dirt, 10 Furlongs


#1 Tripoli 5/1

Former turf runner took well to the surface switch using his training in energy distribution from turf and applying it to trigger a REV first time on dirt with a 71/76 victory. Dirt spreads that are mathematically negative (4F minus Final) point to horses that can benefit from going longer.

#2 Tizamagician 5/1

Grades stakes proven at this track going longer off a “deep” 53/74 victory. Does his best work near the lead but will now need to cut back in distance against a group that can easily match early splits with him leaving him susceptible to an undesirable trip.

#3 Dr Post 4/1

East coaster invades off a 70/82 victory and as a runner who's form has really zig-zagged around, you'd expect regression to be imminent off a Lifetime Top Final here.

#4 Royal Ship (BRZ) 7/2

Welcomed a switch to dirt this year when prompting a 72/78 DTOP victory and did well to stretch out his dirt spread as he stretched out in distance with a 69/78 coming next. Took a regression last out to 70/74 on the cut back when faced with a quicker pace scenario so look for him to revert back to a better fit at today's distance.

#5 Express Train 3/1

Has been consistently good as of late but looks tough to yield favoritism to as he'll be challenged from both ends. On the front end, there's plenty here that can match his 4F and 6F Figures and on the back end, there are deeper runners with similar Final Figures but bigger dirt spreads. Contender but lacks value in the spot.

#6 Magic On Tap 20/1

Likely lacks the energy distribution to keep up with this class over this distance. He's never posted a Final Figure more than a point or so above his 4F Figures and the Final Figure in general needs great improvement today.

#7 Independence Hall 5/1

Hasn't shown much since shipping west after a big 80/80 performance back in January chasing Knicks Go. They'll experiment with blinkers here to try getting him focused in. He owns the best Last 4F and Average 4F Figures so it's an equipment change that makes sense.

#8 Sheriff Brown 30/1

Tries deep waters again after dominating smaller circuits but greatly needs to move forward off last out's 63/70 on this track to compete. Not sure there's much potential to improve here as he's a runner coming off a recent 3-race win streak rather than one seeking to find his ceiling.

#9 Cupid's Claws 15/1

His best work comes at very deep dirt spreads in the -20 range where he's allowed to settle into slower 4F scenarios and sustain on. Will have a lot of work to do against this group with that running line.

My Picks: 1-4-5

-Dustin Korth @predicteform


Search Blogs


Welcome to Predicteform

Predicteform.com Pace Figures, Form Cycle Patterns and Value Play picks will tell you if a horse is likely to improve or regress in its next start. Easily accessible from any computer, tablet or mobile device, Predicteform.com services horse players of all types. Access to printing PDF's is also available.

How do I get started?
Visit the Learn tab on the navigation bar where you'll find the Predicteform.com Legend and Pattern Guide. These two tools combined will give you the knowledge you need to use Predicteform.com:

The Legend helps to explain how best to read the Pace Figures. It clearly defines what every line, symbol and figure means.

The Pattern Guide highlights Form Cycle Patterns, a series of 12 symbols/abbreviations, each with its own definition. These patterns are the easiest and most effective way to evaluate what we can expect from a horse's future performance and expected form cycle.

Value Play Picks use the automated technology and process to evaluate every track and race as well as the Predicteform.com team's analytical expertise, we can now rank every horse by its likelihood of winning the race and value (initially relative to morning line odds).
Value Play picks are included as part of all subscriptions and you can view now on the Free Race of the Day.

Blinker's Off - We have also published founder Cary Fotias' unabridged book on Form Cycle Analysis, available by chapter free to all who register.

Free Race of the Day – Every day, we will make available the Pace Figures and Value Play Picks for at least one race. Pace Figures are what subscribers, both in the Value Play Picks and the comprehensive "advanced" view, can see for every horse of every race at every track. Check out today's free race here.

Free Track of the Weekend - Each weekend (Fri. - Sun.), Predicteform will offer access to the Value Play Picks, Pace Figures and Form Cycle Patterns. Access to this data will provide new users an ability to follow along and learn how read, analyze and use the Predicteform technology.

Where can I see sample races?
Click here to read examples of the Pace Figures and Form Cycle Pattern Analysis for the 2016 Preakness Stakes. Many more race examples and other content has been made available within the Blog section of the site.

Feedback is incredibly important to the Predicteform.com team as we attempt to keep the spirit of Equiform.com founder, Cary Fotias' handicapping vision alive while also providing you with the best possible product. We encourage you to register/log in and send us comments, thoughts and questions about the site through Customer Support.

Let us know what you like and what you want to see more of. We are big believers in collaboration and hope you are as excited as we are about Predicteform.com.