G3 Withers S. (02/06/21)

Aqueduct Race 8

9 Furlongs, Dirt


#1 Shackqueenking 10/1

He's 2 for 2 at two turns so far prompting a Reversal (REV) in the first victory and putting up a tight 73/74 in his last. He sits atop the best Average, Last, and Top Final Figures among the field.

#2 Royal Number 6/1

He's been at his best when geared up spending energy earlier with his best routes being prompted by 75 4F Figures. Facing tougher and going longer today may not be ideal for his style of energy distribution.

#3 Capo Kane 3/1

He's only had one try on a fast track good for a 71/68 score followed by a 67/68 REV victory in the mud last out. Figures are within striking range and spread has been pleasingly tight but has some things to prove to deserve co-favoritism.

#5 Risk Taking 5/2

Strung together 3 juvenile conditioners in preparation for this sophomore run starting with the COMP pattern which we like to see with our debut runners. Took a stab at the turf to learn how to relax before ultimately ending up the only one of the field proven at today's distance by breaking his maiden in 62/70 REV fashion here on today's track. Can't fault the morning line odds maker for letting this one catch the eye.

#6 Overtook 6/1

Debuted with the COMP pattern before setting a slow 58/58 when stretching out but rebounded coming into today off a 67/67 NPT. Most runners will move forward off this Form Cycle Pattern. We'd like to see him put at least 3 points improvement on the Final Figure which will equate to about 8 lengths at this distance. Will want to ask for proper odds given the improvement we're asking. $1 million purchase goes for strong connections.

#7 Donegal Bay 7/2

Not much on debut but returned better after some time off to score in Florida with a compressed 71/71 victory comfortable on the lead throughout. Bred to like this stretch out to two turns but still remains unproven against pressure of classier rivals. Wildcard could be good but prefer odds float up a bit.

#8 Civil War 50/1

He's been quite “forward” going two turns with dirt spreads (4F minus Final) of +6 and +10. Compared to today's field, you'd want this type of runner to enjoy a positional advantage out front. This one looks outmatched needing a dramatic improvement.

#9 Eagle Orb 10/1

Took a regression after breaking through a NEG + DTOP combo which is reasonable. Able to rebound and run well in first route to a 70/70 then put together a compressed 72/71 sprint victory. Hasn't seen a fast track in a bit so possible to excuse the 66/66 last out in the mud. This will be first try around two turns which works well for the compressed spreads we've seen, but this one also has yet to pass a rival mid-stretch.

-Dustin Korth @predicteform


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