#11 Dynamic One 20/1
Smooth development from the COMP debut through a REV-NPT-SOFT before getting caught up in a hot pace last out. Upset contender.
#12 Helium 50/1
Only has one start in a dirt route and is most laid off of the field. I question his prep for this spot.
#13 Hidden Stash 50/1
Has passed horses late in every start so far, just needs to hope for a pace to run into.
#14 Essential Quality 2/1
Favorite owns 2 of only 3 80+ Final Figures throughout the fields races. Has built dirt spread from -3 in the BC Juvenile to -11 last out while maintaining that 80 Final. Deserving favorite.
#15 Rock Your World 5/1
Let out an impressive 78/75 COMP in his only dirt start after prepping on turf. I worry about it being a hidden DTOP in reality.
#16 King Fury – Scratched
#17 Highly Motivated 10/1
65/72 REV triggered an uptick when stretching out as he almost pulled off a huge upset matching figures with Essential Quality at 69/80. Could have already ran his Super Bowl and be vulnerable to regression.
#18 Super Stock 30/1
Runner has the opposite pattern of what we usually look for in stretchouts of a tightening dirt spread going from positive into the negatives. Instead this one has been ramping up his form in reverse from a -13 to a +2 over last 3 starts indicating much more early energy spent. However, he's also used this angle to find better positions and found his first victory against winners last out with a high sustained pace at 77/75. Perhaps can fire out here and hold with an all-time best effort at big odds.
#19 Soup And Sandwich 30/1
Nicely consistent moving from a 74/71 COMP to REV to 72/75 last out. Has been a nice consistent horse but may not have a higher ceiling to peak to beyond that.
#20 Bourbonic 30/1
Has never broken a 70 Final and won his way in on the heels of a pace breakdown where his -17 dirt spread gave him a thrilling victory but leaves him well out of this race.
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-Dustin Korth @predicteform