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G1 Florida Derby (03/27/21)

Gulfstream Park, Race 14

Dirt, 9 Furlongs

#1 Nova Rags 12/1

Was back on track last out going longest of career mirroring the energy distribution he showed on the debut COMP. Should like the extra distance and will be likely to trigger a REV pattern in this one. Needs to improve a few points for it to also trigger a win but worth a look underneath.

#2 Quantum Leap 20/1

Tough spot first against winners but is newly proven at the distance running off a 69/72 REV.

#3 Jirafales 30/1

Speed has been non-existent and even given a meltdown set-up there are many others here with deep closing spreads and much better Final Figures.

#5 Known Agenda 5/1

Gets the 2nd time blinkers angle but loses Lasix here. Proven at the distance with a 68/73 last out.

#7 Greatest Honour 6/5

Set a foundation by going COMP – NPT – REV in first 3 starts before reeling off 3 straight wins. Was a quick 72/75 2 back and good to see him relax into a 69/74 when that high 4F Figure wasn't needed triggering a SOFT pattern. Should be top contender here.

#8 Soup And Sandwich 20/1

Late bloomer moved off a 73/70 COMP debut to trigger a deep 62/74 REV routing in second career spin. May need to work a bit harder earlier to stay with this group possibly jeopardizing his Final Figure.

#9 Collaborate 6/1

Runner has some speed starting with a 76/69 NEG before enjoying more distance with a 71/72 REV win. First try around 2 turns here.

#10 Spielberg 4/1

Most experienced runner in the field ships in from the west coast. Has had some problems at the start last couple tries and fell out of form in spots. Tough one to back given the odds.

-Dustin Korth @predicteform

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