Race 6 | Turf | 8 Furlongs | 2:38 ET
$70k Maiden Allowance | 2YOs
#4 Southern Dream
The debut 65h/71h on synthetic towers the other runners at that trip and makes for back ability that could translate well to turf here. However, he took a regression 2nd out and it's not a great look to go for $12k at auction from a $35k stud fee. The plus is that you'll get to see the board first before making a Pick 5 ticket so you can toss if one of the co-favorites but include if floats up 6/1+.
#5 Harrington
When you get a field that only features 1 or 2 first-timers, you have to take them a bit more seriously as technically…they're the only runners in the field that aren't losers. Lightly-raced trainer has popped a few wins and always draws big prices. Berrios aboard on turf is always a plus so if you've got the bankroll, can have on ticket with a prayer.
#7 Ok Boomer
Pletcher/Saez figures to draw plenty of money here entered to a race without strong standouts amongst the experienced runners. Tough to leave out even at favorite's price.
#8 Bee Well
56h/63h REV on debut could translate synthetic to turf here. Would like 10/1.
#9 Hardy Choice
67h/68 on Keeneland turf debut showing speed but not accelerating through. Figures to show speed again based on quick works and might need to steal this one. Not quite sold.
#10 Coppermaster
Positive look off the NPT/REV combo and the 55/64 on synthetic is a little deeper in turf spread than both the 4 and 8 while matching competitive Final.
Must Use: .7. 10
Race 7 | Synthetic | 5 Furlongs | 3:08 ET
$20k Claiming | 3YO Fillies or F&M 4YO+ NW3 or 1L6M
#1 Golden Isle
Scary as possible controlling speed off the rail with that 100 2F Figure 2-back and off a positive SOFT/NPT combo. Knock would be been claimed 5 straight times so with ever-changing training regimens, how reliable is she to continue the trajectory in any given race for a short price?
#3 Sammy's Town
Nice collection of prompting the CPT in each of last 3 going this short. Prefer double-digits but stands a hope to pop with all that recent conditioning.
#5 Mercury Head
Not a fan of yielding short price to runners trying something for the first time. In this case, never been on synthetic.
#6 Adios Babe
Popped a DTOP/NPT combo in last couple with 74+ Finals that put her on top of this field and now gets a positive rider switch. NPT Top Contender for Value Plays' menu.
#7 Lexinator
Decent compression at PID and a couple winners lately on this shipping angle between the Brooks'. Longshot to consider.
Must Use: .6.
Race 8 | Turf | 7.5 Furlongs | 3:38 ET
$75k Wait A While Stakes | 2YO Fillies
#3 Isabel Alexandra (IRE)
Off a good-looking 62/70 at KEE, she could find some extra late kick here now catching firm ground. Big threat possibly flying under the radar a bit and could be offered for an overlay.
#7 Malleymoo
Irish winner gets the ship right into a stakes. Connections typically give these types an Allowance-type prep first so could be sign of good expectations she's placed here.
#8 Born Dapper
Always beware the soft entry to a favorite. She set a COMP on debut and is a winner on multiple surfaces.
#9 Junipermarshmallow
Tough to leave out runner with visual explosiveness out of traffic in last. Should move forward off the 57h/66 at KEE.
#11 Delight
65H/71h out of the BC Juv Fillies Turf and was off a PLOW pattern. Certain threat to get back on track here but good enough field she may be worth beating as the likely favorite pushed to the outside here and a good spread of other options available.
Must Use: .3. .7. .8. .9.
Race 9 | Synthetic | 8.5 Furlongs | 4:09 ET
$20k Starter Opt Claiming | 3YOs+
#4 J P Hellish
Dropped into a sprint for some conditioning at 75h/71 NPT and now gets back to routing with a 3-back ability line of 64/76h. Longshot's chance.
#5 Momza 2back 62h/75
Can run back to recent winning ways with a deep 62h/75 2-back.
#6 Wicked Finn
Good-looking 68/79h 2-back and tough horse when engaging.
#7 Mr Matuschek
Prompted a 68/79 off the lay-off which could be a sign of new and exciting form.
#8 Uncle Armando
Nice collection of positive form cycle patterns in campaign but has to break through a 68/77 DTOP just 9 days back. More likely to regress here but turf is a good spot to attempt this and price might be right to have on ticket if you're going deep regardless.
#9 Race Craft
One you'll want if you handicap the race setting up well for a late goer as he comes out of a very deep 54/72 running line.
Must Use: .5. .6. .7.
Race 10 | Turf | 8.5 Furlongs | 4:39 ET
$16k Claiming | 3YOs+
#1 Officer Country
Nicely defined trajectory in the synthetic campaign with the spread getting bigger and bigger race over race and should be up for a good effort today on grass.
#4 Dazzling Truths
Like the foundation of double-digit turf spreads at Monmouth, a turf course that has been tough to gain on rivals at. With the 55/71h synthetic try, all could translate well to today's trip
#7 Sassy But Smart
Been sprinting on synthetic but now off the claim, gets back to right spot perhaps where he can steal this one holding some good 74/75s in the back foundation.
#9 Performing Arts
First off the break and new claim for good connections. Should get plenty of support and the past running lines make him a contender, not a stand-out, so could be one to just try and beat here value-wise.
#10 Kitten's Spa
Traveler has been coast-to-coast and does have one real good running line to run back to but looks second tier in the value department. Lacks some killer instinct and Irad should draw some money.
Must Use: .1. .4. .7.