Triple Crown/Belmont Props (05/20/14)

John Ewing, Director of Research and Analytics, @johnewing
California Chrome - Triple Crown and Belmont Stakes prop bets. Odds courtesy of Bovada.lv.



California Chrome, winner of the Kentucky Derby and Preakness Stakes, will run the third and final leg of the Triple Crown at the Belmont Stakes. With California Chrome's bid for a Triple Crown still alive, we look at few prop bets leading up to The Test of the Champion.

Will California Chrome win the 2014 Triple Crown?
  • Yes: -140
  • No: EVEN
California Chrome's odds to win the Triple Crown have decreased from +200 to -140 after the colt won the Preakness Stakes. The odds imply that California Chrome's chances of winning the Triple Crown have increased from 33 percent to 58 percent.

Note: twenty other horses have lost their bid for a Triple Crown after winning both the Kentucky Derby and the Preakness, five since 2002 alone including the most recent, I'll Have Another in 2012.

2014 Belmont Stakes - Margin of Victory - Will it be 2 lengths or more?
  • Yes: EVEN
  • No: -140
How long is a length? A length is the measurement from a horse's nose to tail, approximately eight feet. California Chrome won the Preakness by 1 1/2 lengths, the Kentucky Derby by 1 3/4 lengths and the previous four races by six lengths on average.

Note: Secretariat won the Belmont Stakes by 31 lengths.

2014 Belmont Stakes - Winning time
  • Over/Under: 2:30:00
The last four winners of the Belmont Stakes have ran a time slower than 2:30:00 but nine of the previous ten winners all ran a time faster than the posted over/under.

Note: California Chrome ran the Kentucky Derby in 2:03:66, considered slow, and the Preakness Stakes in 1:54:84, considered respectable.


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