Travers Stakes Analysis (08/21/14)

Each weekend this summer, the team at Predicteform.com selects a Graded Stakes Race and provides an in-depth Form Cycle Race Analysis along with FREE Pace Figure and Past Performances for each starter.



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Here is a sample Form Cycle Race analysis and Pace Figures for Tonalist, the morning-line 3:1 second choice in the Travers Stakes from Saratoga. Run at 10 furlongs for three year-olds, the $1.25 million Travers will air live on NBC at 5pm EST.

Tonalist (3/1)

The Belmont Stakes winner, Tonalist has earned just over $1 million in his 6 race career. And while the three horses prior (Charge Now, VE Day and Viva Majorca) have yet to make the step from allowance to stakes, Tonalist has stamped his name as one of the top year-olds in the country with three strong efforts in Grade I and II competitions.

Read about what we had to say on Tonalist going into the Belmont Stakes. Tonalist is one of those rare horses who, until his last start had a Form Cycle Pattern each race of his life. The Jim Dandy was a short field of six with really two other competitors in Wicked Strong and Kid Cruz.

He raced well enough posting a 75.8/68.9 though it was regression of 1.5 points as compared to his two previous efforts. Visually speaking, he lacked that superb kick he showed previously and comes into this race off two average works with even spacing.



The Play: Regressor – One of three runners who has won at the Grade I level, he will take a fair amount of action on the tote board. That being said, the most recent tail-off and lack of kick seems to indicate a runner who could be on a slight form cycle regression and at short odds, the value is not there.

CLICK HERE TO READ THE FULL RACE ANALYSIS AS WELL AS YOUR FREE PACE FIGURES AND PAST PERFORMANCES FOR ALL RUNNERS IN THE TRAVERS STAKES.

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