2021 Preakness Stakes (05/15/21)

#1 Ram 30/1

Coming into his own a bit lately popping big improvements and a couple wins but is at risk for regression after such a quick moving sequence to a DTOP. The 77/77 on the Derby Day undercard would not have put him in the top half of the field if he had run in the Derby and he faces several rivals from that race today.

#2 Keepmeinmind 15/1

Had a solid 2-year old foundation including a big 70/79 performance in the BC Juvenile. Was a question mark to move forward in the sophomore season after a couple so-so performances in the 67/73 range but took well to the distance of the Derby popping a respectable 58/81 with tons of late run. A cut back in distance isn't ideal for a runner often left far back early but could offer some value in the bottom of exotics possibly passing tired runners.

#3 Medina Spirit 9/5

Had been a bit of a tough grinder when up against peaking rivals in the 2 starts before being sent on early in the Derby to spike the gate-to-wire upset. Remains a threat but did get a really good trip in the big race. Look for him to send early again but others in here that also want the lead will have an easier time challenging than they did in the Derby's bumper car field.

#4 Crowded Trade 10/1

Done well to sustain respectable figures from off the pace at the tighter turns of Aqueduct where speed has a bit of an advantage. Still, needs to show a good improvement here and I'm not sold on 10/1 against this field.

#5 Midnight Bourbon 5/1

Runner has been well-compressed at Fair Grounds and fits the distance well. Wasn't able to get a clean break in the Derby but ran on well at 67/81. Should get a better look position-wise today but has been consistently unable to get to top rivals and although looking solid enough, seems to be an underlay as a fan favorite taking action here. Threat for the exotics but doesn't offer much value.

#6 Rombauer 12/1

Started career prepping with turf to the tune of a debut win and a PLOW triggered 2nd out. Switched to dirt where he triggered the COMP and DTOP. After a Tapeta prep, took another step forward in the Bluegrass stretching his dirt spread to a -10 with nice late run on a solid Final Figure. Could be set for a solid try here with good odds. While wins on two different surfaces show versatility, he is 0 for 3 on the main track, however.

#8 Unbridled Honor 15/1

Taking some small steps forward throughout the career with a slow COMP on debut and a double NPT combo as of late. However, those races flowed in a way that allowed him to set NPTs while being well outrun earlier which set him up perfectly to pass runners late. Most of the check earners in those 2 races all came from off the pace along with him as well.

#9 Risk Taking 15/1

Had a stint earlier this year that looked promising when triggering the REV in his first dirt route then pushing both the 4F and Final forward in a Grade 3 victory, but turned up a dud last out in the Wood. If you're willing to give him an excuse for last, the early precedent was set previously for him to have success at this level so I'm seeing him as a good addition to the exotics. Connections must like what they see in workouts as they scratched him out of a Grade 3 last week to instead try here.

#10 Concert Tour 5/2

Big COMP on debut from the west coast, often a sign of a runner going places. Triggered a big REV when trying first route but faltered last out when pushed to a 79 4F. With an outside draw and his stablemate at risk of getting hooked up in a pace duel, I have to think they'll try rating back a bit here and looking to move on a bit later.

-Dustin Korth @predicteform

Comments

Search Blogs

Archive

Welcome to Predicteform

Predicteform.com Pace Figures, Form Cycle Patterns and Value Play picks will tell you if a horse is likely to improve or regress in its next start. Easily accessible from any computer, tablet or mobile device, Predicteform.com services horse players of all types. Access to printing PDF's is also available.

How do I get started?
Visit the Learn tab on the navigation bar where you'll find the Predicteform.com Legend and Pattern Guide. These two tools combined will give you the knowledge you need to use Predicteform.com:

The Legend helps to explain how best to read the Pace Figures. It clearly defines what every line, symbol and figure means.

The Pattern Guide highlights Form Cycle Patterns, a series of 12 symbols/abbreviations, each with its own definition. These patterns are the easiest and most effective way to evaluate what we can expect from a horse's future performance and expected form cycle.

Value Play Picks use the automated technology and process to evaluate every track and race as well as the Predicteform.com team's analytical expertise, we can now rank every horse by its likelihood of winning the race and value (initially relative to morning line odds).
Value Play picks are included as part of all subscriptions and you can view now on the Free Race of the Day.

Blinker's Off - We have also published founder Cary Fotias' unabridged book on Form Cycle Analysis, available by chapter free to all who register.

Free Race of the Day ā€“ Every day, we will make available the Pace Figures and Value Play Picks for at least one race. Pace Figures are what subscribers, both in the Value Play Picks and the comprehensive "advanced" view, can see for every horse of every race at every track. Check out today's free race here.

Free Track of the Weekend - Each weekend (Fri. - Sun.), Predicteform will offer access to the Value Play Picks, Pace Figures and Form Cycle Patterns. Access to this data will provide new users an ability to follow along and learn how read, analyze and use the Predicteform technology.

Where can I see sample races?
Click here to read examples of the Pace Figures and Form Cycle Pattern Analysis for the 2016 Preakness Stakes. Many more race examples and other content has been made available within the Blog section of the site.

Feedback is incredibly important to the Predicteform.com team as we attempt to keep the spirit of Equiform.com founder, Cary Fotias' handicapping vision alive while also providing you with the best possible product. We encourage you to register/log in and send us comments, thoughts and questions about the site through Customer Support.

Let us know what you like and what you want to see more of. We are big believers in collaboration and hope you are as excited as we are about Predicteform.com.