The Power of History – The Race Finder
There is power in history. It is upon this premise that team from PredictionMachine.com first developed the Trend Machine
. And while not predictive in nature, understanding how teams, players, leagues and betting markets have reacted to various scenarios is a tremendous supplement to an analysis of an upcoming matchup.
This same theory applies to horse racing. Following the launch of the Value Plays
here at Predicteform, the development and analytics team desired to mirror the Trend Machine
for horse racing. The goal would be to enable this engine to not only have the power to understand history but to find those similar and relevant races that fit the same criteria in the future – and with that the Race Finder
The Race Finder
is the first fully transparent results driven database for horse racing. Powered by the Pace Figures and Value Plays, the Race Finder
let's you see the results by Value Play type of specific criteria you select including: total starters, average odds, number of wins, WIN %, WIN ROI, ITM (in the money) % and show ROI.
To demonstrate how to use the Race Finder, please click on this shared search
link and then view search for the NPT-Turf (11/12/15).
For this search we pre-loaded race criteria
using the “Add rule” green button on the far right. After selecting “Add rule,” we clicked the “AND” button in blue on the left and specifically selected the following four criteria.
Distance – 8 furlongs or greater
Purse – Greater than $100,000 (which covers mostly stakes)
Surface – Turf (only)
Form Cycle Pattern – NPT (which means at least one runner had a NPT pattern)
At this point you can also choose to add more rules by clicking “Add rule” and selecting another criteria from the drop down menu (note – if the AND button is darker blue, the criteria selected must be included; click “OR” if you want the criteria to not be mandatory).
Once you've completed search criteria, click the Find Races button to get your results. The following image represents the results from the four criteria selected.
As you can see, the Top Contenders in races that fit the criteria have two wins from 21 starters but the ROI is a very healthy 53.8%.
Below the results of the Race Finder search is a list of upcoming races (or in this case race) that also fit the criteria of the search titled: NPT-Turf.
At Churchill Downs on 11/14, Race 10 meets criteria of the NPT-Turf. Click the Pace Figures
link to access the Value Plays for that race. Season Ticket is the Top Contender (and 15/1 morning-line) and we know from the search results that, historically, the Top Contender with the exact race situations produce an ROI of over 50%.
In this case, his NPT Form Cycle Pattern and double-digit odds are gravy!
We encourage you to check out the Race Finder
, save and store specific searches and of course, if you have any questions, please contact customer support.