Delta Jackpot Stakes (11/21/14)

In-depth analysis of the 2014 Delta Jackpot Stakes including Pace Figures and Form Cycle Patterns of each starter. Please refer to the Legend or Pattern Guide for back-up definitions and patterns

The Pace Figures will tell you if a horse is likely to improve or regress in its next start. Pace Figures are not just a single speed number, but rather a series of numbers that are incredibly powerful in identifying the Form Cycle Patterns of a horse.

To view the free Pace Figures while reading the Delta Jackpot Stakes analysis, click here.

Mr. Z (5-2)

A $135k purchase from the Fasig-Tipton October 2013 sale, Mr. Z has competed in five graded stakes races, just one less than the entire field combined. He has 3 seconds and 2 fifths in those efforts which makes him the clear class of the race. He is also the only runner to exit the Breeders' Cup Juvenile where he ran a decent fifth beaten less than two lengths for second (after Texas Red won by 6+ lengths).

Trained by the Wayne “the Coach” Lukas and campaigned by Zayat Stables, Mr. Z brings first class connections to this Midwest affair.

Looking at his Pace Figures, he ran his lifetime top of 74 the race prior to the Breeders' Cup. And while he did run 72.8/79.9 at Santa Anita, he did regress in his final figure which was disappointing while increasing his 4 furlong number by 10 points.

The Play: Regressor – this will be his sixth different track and seventh race, both a lot to ask of such a young horse, especially off a Breeders' Cup race and as a 5-2 morning line favorite.

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